← Back to Predictions

Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · 1. round

Predicted probability

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

32.17%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

67.83%

Average Odds

2.50  /  1.53

Market probability

37.97%  /  62.03%

Why This Prediction?

Ignacio Buse is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1783 vs 1701), a higher Elo rating (1775 vs 1710) and a stronger return game (42.3% vs 39.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1710.1 Elo 1775.4
1700.8 Elo (surface) 1783.5
68 Wins 33
41 Wins (surface) 23
7 Last 15 form 10
3 Head-to-head wins 1
1.031 Dominance ratio 0.958
68 Rank 35
29.1 Age 22.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vit Kopriva Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

59.8%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%
47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%
61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%
69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vit Kopriva Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

61.9%
56.0%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%
54.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.2%
34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vit Kopriva 31 Ignacio Buse

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-20
7-5 6-7 6-1
3 Aces 4
7 Double Faults 0
119 Service Points 99
71 First Serve In 65
45 First Serve Won 43
21 Second Serve Won 21
11 Break Points Saved 6
17 Break Points Faced 8
33 Winners 26
64 Unforced Errors 42
1.5 Average Odds 2.5
Grass Mallorca · 2026-06-24
7-5 6-1
1 Aces 4
5 Double Faults 4
56 Service Points 54
35 First Serve In 33
25 First Serve Won 20
11 Second Serve Won 8
5 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 10
22 Winners 15
21 Unforced Errors 25
2.2 Average Odds 1.7
Clay Braga CH · 2024-09-30
6-0 4-6 6-1
1 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 2
85 Service Points 65
59 First Serve In 35
39 First Serve Won 22
14 Second Serve Won 12
9 Break Points Saved 3
11 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Kitzbuhel · 2024-07-22
6-1 6-7(3) 6-1
4 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 2
90 Service Points 89
62 First Serve In 61
40 First Serve Won 37
19 Second Serve Won 11
6 Break Points Saved 6
7 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Salzburg CH · 2024-07-08
4-6 6-2 6-4
3 Aces 2
5 Double Faults 11
89 Service Points 137
49 First Serve In 87
31 First Serve Won 53
20 Second Serve Won 17
5 Break Points Saved 15
9 Break Points Faced 21
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Vit Kopriva — Last 10

W L L W L L W L L L

Ignacio Buse — Last 10

L W W W W W W L L L