ATP tennis predict — Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier Onclin

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · R16 22:00

Predicted probability

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

37.68%

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

62.32%

Average Odds

1.73 / 1.95

Market probability

52.99% / 47.01%

Why This Prediction?

Gauthier Onclin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1699 vs 1527), a stronger return game (40.7% vs 39.6% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (41 vs 37).

Player Comparison

1693.2 Elo 1667.3

1527.1 Elo (surface) 1698.5

173 Wins (Challenger) 83

37 Wins (surface) 41

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.193

71 Rank 169

29.2 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vit Kopriva Gauthier Onclin

1st Serve In %

59.8%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vit Kopriva Gauthier Onclin

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.2%

53.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vit Kopriva 0 – 0 Gauthier Onclin

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-20

R16

Vit Kopriva #71

Gauthier Onclin #169

6-4 6-4

13 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

48 Service Points 65

36 First Serve In 34

32 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 1.9

Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier Onclin — Prediction