ATP tennis predict — Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Vilius Gaubas

Lithuania

41.25%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

58.75%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.14

Market probability

57.07% / 42.93%

Why This Prediction?

Kilian Feldbausch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1533 vs 1432), a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1635) and a stronger return game (46.7% vs 37.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1635.2 Elo 1733.5

1432.5 Elo (surface) 1532.9

29 Wins 5

7 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.004 Dominance ratio 1.016

123 Rank 235

21.6 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vilius Gaubas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

61.7%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

71.9%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vilius Gaubas 0 – 0 Kilian Feldbausch

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Vilius Gaubas #120

Kilian Feldbausch #231

6-3 7-6

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

63 Service Points 63

45 First Serve In 31

37 First Serve Won 22

8 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 5

22 Winners 11

25 Unforced Errors 25

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction