ATP tennis predict — Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Vilius Gaubas

Lithuania

50.35%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

49.65%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.28

Market probability

71.46% / 28.54%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1634.1 Elo 1595.1

1583.8 Elo (surface) 1617.8

77 Wins (Challenger) 162

68 Wins (surface) 145

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.002 Dominance ratio 1.413

128 Rank 200

21.6 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vilius Gaubas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Genaro Alberto Olivieri

1st Serve In %

61.7%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Break Points Saved %

71.9%

51.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vilius Gaubas 0 – 1 Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Vilius Gaubas #128

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #200

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 57

42 First Serve In 46

27 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Clay Seville CH · 2025-09-01

QF

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #259

Vilius Gaubas #160

1-6 6-3 7-5

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 2

101 Service Points 80

82 First Serve In 55

49 First Serve Won 35

6 Second Serve Won 10

10 Break Points Saved 1

15 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Prediction