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Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Vilius Gaubas

Lithuania

67.91%

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

32.09%

Average Odds

1.31  /  3.10

Market probability

70.29%  /  29.71%

Why This Prediction?

Vilius Gaubas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1759 vs 1615), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1677 vs 1599) and a stronger serve (65.2% vs 63.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1758.6 Elo 1615.2
1677.2 Elo (surface) 1599.4
80 Wins (Challenger) 158
71 Wins (surface) 107
7 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.008 Dominance ratio 0.976
141 Rank 353
21.8 Age 25.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vilius Gaubas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Duje Ajdukovic

1st Serve In %

61.7%
69.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%
25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%
47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%
49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%
53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vilius Gaubas Duje Ajdukovic

Break Points Saved %

71.9%
63.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%
31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%
61.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.7%
45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vilius Gaubas 1 – 0 Duje Ajdukovic

Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26
6-7(4) 6-4 6-4
1 Aces 5
2 Double Faults 3
121 Service Points 110
85 First Serve In 85
57 First Serve Won 55
20 Second Serve Won 9
3 Break Points Saved 6
5 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Vilius Gaubas — Last 10

W L L W W L L W W W

Duje Ajdukovic — Last 10

W L L W L W W L L W