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Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts — Prediction

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Viktor Durasovic

Norway

49.97%

Michael Geerts

Belgium

50.03%

Average Odds

1.67  /  2.11

Market probability

55.82%  /  44.18%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1436.1 Elo 1508.6
1537.6 Elo (surface) 1576.9
144 Wins (Challenger) 150
91 Wins (surface) 98
4 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 1
0.766 Dominance ratio 0.878
475 Rank 339
29.4 Age 31.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Viktor Durasovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Michael Geerts

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Michael Geerts

1st Serve In %

58.4%
54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%
27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Michael Geerts

Break Points Saved %

55.1%
61.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.4%
53.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Viktor Durasovic 01 Michael Geerts

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04
6-7 6-2 6-2
10 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 7
96 Service Points 109
51 First Serve In 53
34 First Serve Won 34
28 Second Serve Won 26
4 Break Points Saved 7
7 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1
Hard Manacor CH · 2021-08-30
7-6(4) 6-3
4 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 2
73 Service Points 75
41 First Serve In 43
36 First Serve Won 30
18 Second Serve Won 20
3 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Viktor Durasovic — Last 10

L L L W L W L L L L

Michael Geerts — Last 10

L L L W W L L L L W