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Viktor Durasovic vs Lucas Poullain — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Viktor Durasovic

Norway

28.56%

Lucas Poullain

France

71.44%

Average Odds

2.31  /  1.56

Market probability

40.31%  /  59.69%

Why This Prediction?

Lucas Poullain is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1686 vs 1457), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1641 vs 1550) and a stronger return game (47.6% vs 34.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1457.1 Elo 1685.5
1550.5 Elo (surface) 1641.4
146 Wins (Challenger) 67
93 Wins (surface) 57
4 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.854 Dominance ratio 1.270
457 Rank 369
29.4 Age 30.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Viktor Durasovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Lucas Poullain

1st Serve In %

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%
61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Lucas Poullain

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.4%
52.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Viktor Durasovic 00 Lucas Poullain

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19
1 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 0
57 Service Points 52
27 First Serve In 38
16 First Serve Won 29
12 Second Serve Won 5
3 Break Points Saved 2
8 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Viktor Durasovic — Last 10

L L L W L W L L L L

Lucas Poullain — Last 10

L W L L W W W W W W