ATP tennis predict — Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · R16 12:25

Predicted probability

Viktor Durasovic

Norway

29.67%

Andrea Guerrieri

Italy

70.33%

Average Odds

3.30 / 1.30

Market probability

28.26% / 71.74%

Why This Prediction?

Andrea Guerrieri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1450), a stronger return game (45.9% vs 32.6% of return points won) and a stronger serve (61.0% vs 59.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1450.2 Elo 1652.4

1553.4 Elo (surface) 1543.5

145 Wins (Challenger) 51

92 Wins (surface) 11

4 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.795 Dominance ratio 1.178

475 Rank 213

29.4 Age 27.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Viktor Durasovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Andrea Guerrieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Andrea Guerrieri

1st Serve In %

58.4%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

59.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Viktor Durasovic Andrea Guerrieri

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.4%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Viktor Durasovic 0 – 0 Andrea Guerrieri

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Andrea Guerrieri #213

Viktor Durasovic #475

6-4 4-6 6-2

9 Aces 5

11 Double Faults 3

86 Service Points 105

38 First Serve In 64

27 First Serve Won 46

23 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 11

6 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri — Prediction