ATP tennis predict — Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Valerio Aboian

Argentina

51.92%

Franco Roncadelli

Uruguay

48.08%

Average Odds

1.04 / 1.04

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1622.6 Elo 1610.6

1628.2 Elo (surface) 1631.6

76 Wins (Challenger) 65

76 Wins (surface) 65

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.986 Dominance ratio 0.961

347 Rank 265

24.3 Age 26.7

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valerio Aboian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valerio Aboian Franco Roncadelli

1st Serve In %

—

68.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

68.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

59.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.0%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valerio Aboian Franco Roncadelli

Break Points Saved %

—

70.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

56.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.0%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli have never played each other.

Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli — Prediction