ATP tennis predict — Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris

ATP Hard Chengdu · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

50.36%

Lloyd Harris

RSA

49.64%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.94

Market probability

51.19% / 48.81%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1970.6 Elo 1901.1

1914.5 Elo (surface) 1869.6

52 Wins 139

31 Wins (surface) 107

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.052 Dominance ratio 1.156

19 Rank 136

27.9 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Lloyd Harris

1st Serve In %

63.5%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.93

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Lloyd Harris

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Vacherot and Lloyd Harris have never played each other.

Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris — Prediction