ATP tennis predict — Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 01:25

Predicted probability

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

53.17%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

46.83%

Average Odds

1.75 / 2.08

Market probability

54.31% / 45.69%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1716.9 Elo 1753.4

1761.4 Elo (surface) 1676.1

51 Wins 107

30 Wins (surface) 67

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.039 Dominance ratio 1.126

23 Rank 73

27.8 Age 30.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

63.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Vacherot 0 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Valentin Vacherot #23

Kamil Majchrzak #73

6-4 4-6 7-6 6-2

17 Aces 8

12 Double Faults 7

139 Service Points 149

86 First Serve In 86

70 First Serve Won 52

16 Second Serve Won 28

3 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

53 Winners 34

40 Unforced Errors 42

1.8 Average Odds 2.1

Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction