ATP tennis predict — Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx

ATP Hard Tokyo · 1. round 03:00

Predicted probability

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

39.29%

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

60.71%

Average Odds

2.11 / 1.71

Market probability

44.76% / 55.24%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Blockx is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1901 vs 1894), a higher Elo rating (2033 vs 1954) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1953.7 Elo 2033.3

1893.8 Elo (surface) 1900.9

52 Wins 45

31 Wins (surface) 24

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.052 Dominance ratio 1.107

18 Rank 27

27.9 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Alexander Blockx

1st Serve In %

61.7%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Alexander Blockx

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Vacherot and Alexander Blockx have never played each other.

Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx — Prediction