ATP tennis predict
← Back to Predictions

Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

49.85%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

50.15%

Average Odds

1.86  /  1.95

Market probability

51.18%  /  48.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1700.6 Elo 1716.6
1745.5 Elo (surface) 1666.8
50 Wins 84
29 Wins (surface) 64
8 Last 15 form 5
1 Head-to-head wins 2
0.984 Dominance ratio 0.893
23 Rank 84
27.8 Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

63.5%
55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%
20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.66
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.65
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Vacherot Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

56.4%
67.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%
36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.2%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Vacherot 1 – 2 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Valentin Vacherot #23

Aleksandar Kovacevic #84

6-2 6-3 7-5
14 Aces 8
3 Double Faults 6
76 Service Points 89
41 First Serve In 40
37 First Serve Won 31
23 Second Serve Won 22
0 Break Points Saved 7
0 Break Points Faced 11
29 Winners 26
21 Unforced Errors 38
1.9 Average Odds 1.9
Clay Aix En Provence CH · 2024-04-29

R32

Valentin Vacherot #131

Aleksandar Kovacevic #97

7-5 7-6(5)
10 Aces 7
0 Double Faults 3
73 Service Points 96
47 First Serve In 46
33 First Serve Won 35
19 Second Serve Won 23
4 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Madrid Masters · 2024-04-22

Q2

Aleksandar Kovacevic #97

Valentin Vacherot #131

6-4 6-2
6 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 2
54 Service Points 50
32 First Serve In 37
28 First Serve Won 24
11 Second Serve Won 6
2 Break Points Saved 2
2 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Temuco CH · 2023-11-27

SF

Aleksandar Kovacevic #123

Valentin Vacherot #299

6-7(4) 6-0 6-3
7 Aces 9
2 Double Faults 2
77 Service Points 88
50 First Serve In 61
42 First Serve Won 39
15 Second Serve Won 13
0 Break Points Saved 4
0 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Valentin Vacherot — Last 10

L W W L L L L W L W

Aleksandar Kovacevic — Last 10

L L W W W L W L L L