ATP tennis predict — Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Valentin Royer

France

65.78%

Tyler Zink

USA

34.22%

Average Odds

1.33 / 2.94

Market probability

68.85% / 31.15%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Royer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1574), a stronger return game (44.4% vs 34.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1599 vs 1582).

Player Comparison

1707.8 Elo 1573.6

1599.0 Elo (surface) 1582.1

112 Wins (Challenger) 46

40 Wins (surface) 33

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.234 Dominance ratio 1.078

78 Rank 325

25.2 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Tyler Zink

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

40.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.0%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Tyler Zink

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

72.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Royer 0 – 0 Tyler Zink

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Valentin Royer #78

Tyler Zink #325

6-3 7-5

7 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

58 Service Points 79

39 First Serve In 46

32 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 9

3 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zink — Prediction