ATP tennis predict — Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · F 23:00

Predicted probability

Valentin Royer

France

71.75%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

28.25%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.97

Market probability

68.59% / 31.41%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Royer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1649 vs 1551), a higher Elo rating (1739 vs 1625) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 59.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1739.3 Elo 1624.8

1649.3 Elo (surface) 1551.2

115 Wins (Challenger) 158

43 Wins (surface) 38

12 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.417 Dominance ratio 1.055

78 Rank 151

25.2 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

61.1%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.0%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Royer 1 – 0 Pedro Martinez

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-22

F

Valentin Royer #78

Pedro Martinez #151

6-4 6-2

7 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 68

32 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 17

10 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Clay Aix-en-Provence CH · 2026-04-28

R32

Valentin Royer #72

Pedro Martinez #133

6-2 6-3

5 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

68 Service Points 52

41 First Serve In 36

30 First Serve Won 18

14 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction