ATP tennis predict — Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Valentin Royer

France

81.27%

Luis Guto Miguel

Brazil

18.73%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.31

Market probability

82.58% / 17.42%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Royer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1493), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1586 vs 1440) and a stronger serve (64.0% vs 60.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1701.3 Elo 1493.1

1585.5 Elo (surface) 1439.9

111 Wins (Challenger) 5

39 Wins (surface) 0

11 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.234 Dominance ratio 1.031

78 Rank -

25.2 Age 17.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Luis Guto Miguel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Luis Guto Miguel

1st Serve In %

61.1%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

39.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.0%

55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Luis Guto Miguel

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Royer 0 – 0 Luis Guto Miguel

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Valentin Royer #78

Luis Guto Miguel #-

6-1 6-7 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.3

Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Valentin Royer — Last 10

Luis Guto Miguel — Last 10