ATP tennis predict — Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Valentin Royer

France

51.41%

Adam Walton

Australia

48.59%

Average Odds

1.95 / 1.83

Market probability

48.41% / 51.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1836.6 Elo 1862.9

1756.0 Elo (surface) 1791.9

34 Wins 49

25 Wins (surface) 37

3 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.979 Dominance ratio 1.147

104 Rank 99

25.3 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Adam Walton

1st Serve In %

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Royer Adam Walton

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

48.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Royer 0 – 0 Adam Walton

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-23

1. round

Valentin Royer #104

Adam Walton #99

6-3 6-4

14 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 31

13 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 7

22 Winners 13

22 Unforced Errors 23

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton — Prediction