ATP tennis predict — Valentin Basel vs Pietro Marino

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Valentin Basel

Argentina

64.14%

Pietro Marino

Italy

35.86%

Average Odds

2.71 / 1.41

Market probability

34.22% / 65.78%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Basel is the favorite because he has more career match wins (5 vs 1), better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1) and more wins on clay courts (5 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1347.3 Elo 1503.5

1364.1 Elo (surface) 1548.0

5 Wins (Challenger) 1

5 Wins (surface) 1

4 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.836 Dominance ratio 1.078

1109 Rank 987

22.2 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Valentin Basel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Pietro Marino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Basel Pietro Marino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

71.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.6%

56.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Valentin Basel Pietro Marino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.6%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Valentin Basel 0 – 0 Pietro Marino

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Pietro Marino #983

Valentin Basel #1137

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

80 Service Points 56

48 First Serve In 46

29 First Serve Won 30

10 Second Serve Won 6

8 Break Points Saved 1

13 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Valentin Basel vs Pietro Marino — Prediction