ATP tennis predict — Vadym Ursu vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Vadym Ursu

Ukraine

18.34%

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

81.66%

Average Odds

3.26 / 1.30

Market probability

28.51% / 71.49%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1623 vs 1461) and a stronger serve (61.3% vs 49.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1439.1 Elo 1664.5

1460.9 Elo (surface) 1623.0

44 Wins (Challenger) 228

37 Wins (surface) 72

5 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.880 Dominance ratio 1.268

407 Rank 382

29.7 Age 33.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vadym Ursu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vadym Ursu Dimitar Kuzmanov

1st Serve In %

59.7%

70.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.2%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.70

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

69.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.2%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vadym Ursu Dimitar Kuzmanov

Break Points Saved %

48.4%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vadym Ursu 0 – 1 Dimitar Kuzmanov

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Dimitar Kuzmanov #382

Vadym Ursu #407

6-4 7-5

1 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Clay Bratislava 2 challenger · 2026-06-07

qualification - 1. round

Dimitar Kuzmanov #357

Vadym Ursu #378

4-6 6-2 6-1

7 Aces 2

10 Double Faults 0

82 Service Points 76

43 First Serve In 52

29 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 17

9 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 8

28 Winners 22

44 Unforced Errors 26

1.1 Average Odds 6.3

Vadym Ursu vs Dimitar Kuzmanov — Prediction