ATP tennis predict — Vadym Ursu vs Borna Gojo

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Vadym Ursu

Ukraine

13.50%

Borna Gojo

Croatia

86.50%

Average Odds

5.65 / 1.10

Market probability

16.30% / 83.70%

Why This Prediction?

Borna Gojo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1446), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1785 vs 1465) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 56.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1446.4 Elo 1792.3

1465.1 Elo (surface) 1784.8

45 Wins (Challenger) 178

38 Wins (surface) 142

4 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.880 Dominance ratio 1.100

403 Rank 150

29.7 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Vadym Ursu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Borna Gojo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vadym Ursu Borna Gojo

1st Serve In %

59.7%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.2%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.70

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.2%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Vadym Ursu Borna Gojo

Break Points Saved %

48.4%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Vadym Ursu 0 – 0 Borna Gojo

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Borna Gojo #150

Vadym Ursu #403

7-5 6-3

1 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 38

13 Second Serve Won 6

8 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.7

Vadym Ursu vs Borna Gojo — Prediction