ATP tennis predict — Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Ugo Humbert

France

55.95%

Michael Zheng

USA

44.05%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.95

Market probability

51.32% / 48.68%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Humbert is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1766 vs 1685), a higher Elo rating (1845 vs 1761) and better recent form (14 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

1844.7 Elo 1760.9

1766.1 Elo (surface) 1684.5

212 Wins 16

150 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.130 Dominance ratio 0.981

28 Rank 113

28.1 Age 22.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Humbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Humbert Michael Zheng

1st Serve In %

61.0%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Humbert Michael Zheng

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.1%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Humbert 0 – 0 Michael Zheng

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Michael Zheng #110

Ugo Humbert #30

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 4

8 Double Faults 3

62 Service Points 57

32 First Serve In 34

19 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 1

20 Winners 10

43 Unforced Errors 20

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng — Prediction