ATP tennis predict — Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Ugo Humbert

France

79.96%

Andres Martin

USA

20.04%

Average Odds

1.23 / 4.11

Market probability

76.97% / 23.03%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Humbert is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1864 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1793 vs 1597) and a stronger serve (68.4% vs 53.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1864.0 Elo 1591.6

1793.0 Elo (surface) 1597.1

211 Wins 4

149 Wins (surface) 4

10 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.171 Dominance ratio 0.734

29 Rank 381

28.1 Age 25.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Humbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Humbert Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

61.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Humbert Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

73.2%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.1%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Humbert 0 – 0 Andres Martin

Hard Washington · 2026-07-28

1. round

Ugo Humbert #29

Andres Martin #381

6-2 7-5

3 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 5

59 Service Points 54

32 First Serve In 29

23 First Serve Won 20

16 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 4

22 Winners 7

26 Unforced Errors 27

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin — Prediction