ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Tom Paris

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

67.45%

Tom Paris

France

32.55%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.08

Market probability

69.68% / 30.32%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1680 vs 1591), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1716 vs 1600) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1679.8 Elo 1591.3

1716 Elo (surface) 1600.4

83 Wins (Challenger) 32

48 Wins (surface) 20

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.993 Dominance ratio 0.847

305 Rank 676

27.8 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Tom Paris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Tom Paris

1st Serve In %

52.8%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

78.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

65.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Tom Paris

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet 0 – 1 Tom Paris

Hard Metz · 2023-11-06

Q1

Tom Paris #584

Ugo Blanchet #191

6-4 6-1

6 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 7

46 Service Points 56

24 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 18

13 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ugo Blanchet vs Tom Paris — Prediction