ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 23:30

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

38.20%

Rei Sakamoto

Japan

61.80%

Average Odds

3.30 / 1.30

Market probability

28.26% / 71.74%

Why This Prediction?

Rei Sakamoto is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1646 vs 1588), a stronger serve (68.6% vs 63.7% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (48 vs 39).

Player Comparison

1587.7 Elo 1645.7

1648.8 Elo (surface) 1542.5

74 Wins (Challenger) 58

39 Wins (surface) 48

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.011 Dominance ratio 1.128

190 Rank 165

27.6 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Rei Sakamoto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Rei Sakamoto

1st Serve In %

52.8%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

21.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

40.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Rei Sakamoto

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet 0 – 0 Rei Sakamoto

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13

1. round

Rei Sakamoto #165

Ugo Blanchet #190

6-7 7-6 7-6

3 Aces 18

7 Double Faults 5

125 Service Points 129

59 First Serve In 81

47 First Serve Won 57

35 Second Serve Won 25

6 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto — Prediction