ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Laurent Lokoli

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

72.97%

Laurent Lokoli

France

27.03%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.04

Market probability

54.40% / 45.60%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1587 vs 1436), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1625 vs 1503) and a stronger serve (62.5% vs 57.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1587.4 Elo 1436.3

1624.5 Elo (surface) 1502.7

76 Wins (Challenger) 109

41 Wins (surface) 74

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.894 Dominance ratio 0.819

199 Rank 386

27.7 Age 31.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Laurent Lokoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Laurent Lokoli

1st Serve In %

52.8%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

42.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Laurent Lokoli

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

23.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet 0 – 1 Laurent Lokoli

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Ugo Blanchet #199

Laurent Lokoli #386

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

48 Service Points 65

25 First Serve In 41

22 First Serve Won 26

14 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Hard Cassis CH · 2023-09-04

R32

Laurent Lokoli #222

Ugo Blanchet #320

7-6(4) 7-5

3 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 86

48 First Serve In 45

36 First Serve Won 31

15 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ugo Blanchet vs Laurent Lokoli — Prediction