ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 10:30

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

45.67%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

54.33%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.94

Market probability

52.15% / 47.85%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1664.8 Elo 1747.9

1728.4 Elo (surface) 1727.1

77 Wins (Challenger) 107

42 Wins (surface) 31

6 Last 15 form 9

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.016

199 Rank 208

27.7 Age 23.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

52.8%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet 2 – 0 Daniel Rincon

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Ugo Blanchet #199

Daniel Rincon #208

6-3 3-6 6-3

7 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 41

26 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Grass Wimbledon · 2025-06-30

Q1

Ugo Blanchet #173

Daniel Rincon #203

7-5 7-6(5)

5 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 0

76 Service Points 95

45 First Serve In 53

33 First Serve Won 36

17 Second Serve Won 21

6 Break Points Saved 8

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Malaga CH · 2023-10-09

Q2

Ugo Blanchet #324

Daniel Rincon #202

6-4 7-5

6 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

56 Service Points 55

39 First Serve In 41

33 First Serve Won 33

11 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet — Last 10

Daniel Rincon — Last 10