ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · QF 10:30

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

71.19%

Daniel Masur

Germany

28.81%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.94

Market probability

68.21% / 31.79%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1747 vs 1586), a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1594) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1682.7 Elo 1593.6

1746.9 Elo (surface) 1586.1

78 Wins (Challenger) 216

43 Wins (surface) 135

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.034

199 Rank 378

27.7 Age 31.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

52.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

43.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

30.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet 0 – 0 Daniel Masur

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Daniel Masur #378

Ugo Blanchet #199

2-6 6-4 7-6

4 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 46

29 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 9

6 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur — Prediction