ATP tennis predict — Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel De Jonge

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Ugo Blanchet

France

87.12%

Daniel De Jonge

Netherlands

12.88%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.20

Market probability

77.78% / 22.22%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1668 vs 1445), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1702 vs 1487) and more career match wins (81 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1668.5 Elo 1445.1

1702.0 Elo (surface) 1487.1

81 Wins (Challenger) 2

46 Wins (surface) 1

7 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 0.917

305 Rank 585

27.8 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Daniel De Jonge

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel De Jonge

1st Serve In %

52.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.40

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

51.9%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ugo Blanchet Daniel De Jonge

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ugo Blanchet and Daniel De Jonge have never played each other.

Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel De Jonge — Prediction