ATP tennis predict
← Back to Predictions

Tyler Zink vs Strong Kirchheimer — Prediction

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Tyler Zink

USA

69.93%

Strong Kirchheimer

USA

30.07%

Average Odds

1.25  /  3.57

Market probability

74.07%  /  25.93%

Why This Prediction?

Tyler Zink is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1579 vs 1381), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1591 vs 1431) and a stronger serve (64.0% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1579.3 Elo 1381.2
1591.3 Elo (surface) 1430.6
44 Wins (Challenger) 95
31 Wins (surface) 85
9 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 2
0.915 Dominance ratio 0.909
343 Rank 629
25.5 Age 31.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Strong Kirchheimer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Strong Kirchheimer

1st Serve In %

62.1%
66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.7%
46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.81
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%
68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%
49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Strong Kirchheimer

Break Points Saved %

60.6%
61.6%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%
32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.3%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tyler Zink 1 – 2 Strong Kirchheimer

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Tyler Zink #343

Strong Kirchheimer #629

7-6 6-4
5 Aces 3
3 Double Faults 0
61 Service Points 67
34 First Serve In 39
27 First Serve Won 24
19 Second Serve Won 18
1 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.6
Hard Champaign CH · 2024-11-11

R32

Strong Kirchheimer #645

Tyler Zink #497

5-7 7-5 7-5
5 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 3
103 Service Points 108
69 First Serve In 65
52 First Serve Won 44
17 Second Serve Won 24
6 Break Points Saved 8
9 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Columbus CH · 2024-09-16

Q1

Tyler Zink #619

Strong Kirchheimer #536

6-4 6-7(7) 7-5
7 Aces 5
5 Double Faults 6
116 Service Points 120
76 First Serve In 81
50 First Serve Won 47
20 Second Serve Won 18
3 Break Points Saved 8
7 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Champaign CH · 2022-11-14

Q1

Strong Kirchheimer #459

Tyler Zink #810

W/O
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Tyler Zink — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W

Strong Kirchheimer — Last 10

L L L W W L L L W W