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Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Krueger — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Tyler Zink

USA

52.51%

Average Odds

2.12  /  1.65

Market probability

43.77%  /  56.23%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1563.9 Elo 1620.8
1515.6 Elo (surface) 1604.1
46 Wins (Challenger) 226
33 Wins (surface) 175
6 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.045 Dominance ratio 1.026
338 Rank 381
25.7 Age 32.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mitchell Krueger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Mitchell Krueger

1st Serve In %

62.1%
66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.7%
40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.81
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%
43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Mitchell Krueger

Break Points Saved %

60.6%
60.9%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%
34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.3%
60.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tyler Zink 1 – 1 Mitchell Krueger

Clay Tallahassee CH · 2026-04-13
6-1 6-2
3 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 0
43 Service Points 42
25 First Serve In 27
20 First Serve Won 15
13 Second Serve Won 5
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Winston Salem CH · 2025-09-08
6-1 6-2
9 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 2
34 Service Points 50
25 First Serve In 28
21 First Serve Won 18
7 Second Serve Won 5
0 Break Points Saved 7
0 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Tyler Zink — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W

Mitchell Krueger — Last 10

L L W W L L W L L L