ATP tennis predict — Tyler Zink vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Tyler Zink

USA

43.72%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

56.28%

Average Odds

1.99 / 1.74

Market probability

46.65% / 53.35%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Agustin Gomez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1672 vs 1578), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1584 vs 1534) and a stronger return game (40.0% vs 34.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1578.2 Elo 1672.1

1534.0 Elo (surface) 1584.4

46 Wins (Challenger) 98

33 Wins (surface) 21

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.045 Dominance ratio 0.802

337 Rank 200

25.6 Age 29.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.7%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.3%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tyler Zink 0 – 0 Federico Agustin Gomez

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Federico Agustin Gomez #200

Tyler Zink #337

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 19

6 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Tyler Zink vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction