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Tyler Zink vs Evan King — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Tyler Zink

USA

72.28%

Evan King

USA

27.72%

Average Odds

1.05  /  6.92

Market probability

86.83%  /  13.17%

Why This Prediction?

Tyler Zink is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1572 vs 1456), a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1452) and more aces per game (0.32 vs 0.22).

Player Comparison

1560.4 Elo 1451.6
1571.8 Elo (surface) 1455.6
45 Wins (Challenger) 84
32 Wins (surface) 71
8 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.994 Dominance ratio 0.895
320 Rank -
25.5 Age 34.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Evan King

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Evan King

1st Serve In %

62.1%
63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.7%
45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.81
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
54.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%
44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tyler Zink Evan King

Break Points Saved %

60.6%
73.9%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%
34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.3%
51.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tyler Zink and Evan King have never played each other.

Tyler Zink — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W

Evan King — Last 10

L W L L L W L L L L