ATP tennis predict — Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Tuncay Duran

Turkey

42.69%

Antoine Ghibaudo

France

57.31%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.70

Market probability

45.21% / 54.79%

Why This Prediction?

Antoine Ghibaudo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1611 vs 1545), more wins on hard courts (41 vs 7) and more career match wins (52 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1534.4 Elo 1514.3

1544.8 Elo (surface) 1610.6

7 Wins (Challenger) 52

7 Wins (surface) 41

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 0.978

644 Rank 349

22.2 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tuncay Duran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tuncay Duran Antoine Ghibaudo

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tuncay Duran Antoine Ghibaudo

Break Points Saved %

—

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tuncay Duran 0 – 0 Antoine Ghibaudo

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-03

1. round

Antoine Ghibaudo #351

Tuncay Duran #626

7-5 7-6

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

86 Service Points 96

51 First Serve In 62

32 First Serve Won 44

16 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 9

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo — Prediction