ATP tennis predict — Tristan Schoolkate vs Jack Secord

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 01:00

Predicted probability

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

85.51%

Jack Secord

USA

14.49%

Average Odds

1.07 / 8.08

Market probability

88.31% / 11.69%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Schoolkate is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1584 vs 1500), more career match wins (118 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1595 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1595.3 Elo 1500

1584.4 Elo (surface) 1500

30 Wins 0

24 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.854 Dominance ratio 0.854

180 Rank 1912

25.5 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Jack Secord

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Jack Secord

1st Serve In %

60.2%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

67.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Jack Secord

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

83.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Schoolkate 0 – 0 Jack Secord

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 1. round

Tristan Schoolkate #180

Jack Secord #1912

6-3 6-2

4 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 5

55 Service Points 71

27 First Serve In 43

18 First Serve Won 32

9 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 6

18 Winners 13

23 Unforced Errors 18

1.1 Average Odds 8.2

Tristan Schoolkate vs Jack Secord — Prediction