ATP tennis predict — Tristan Schoolkate vs Harold Mayot

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · SF 13:30

Predicted probability

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

49.29%

Harold Mayot

France

50.71%

Average Odds

2.00 / 1.74

Market probability

46.52% / 53.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1786.0 Elo 1764.0

1748.1 Elo (surface) 1765.5

121 Wins (Challenger) 138

102 Wins (surface) 91

8 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.009 Dominance ratio 1.099

165 Rank 288

25.6 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

60.2%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

67.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Schoolkate 2 – 0 Harold Mayot

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-19

SF

Harold Mayot #288

Tristan Schoolkate #165

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 32

12 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2

Grass Ilkley CH · 2025-06-09

R32

Tristan Schoolkate #131

Harold Mayot #156

3-6 7-5 7-5

10 Aces 9

8 Double Faults 5

103 Service Points 103

58 First Serve In 65

40 First Serve Won 46

23 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Lincoln CH · 2024-08-05

R16

Tristan Schoolkate #202

Harold Mayot #112

6-1 6-4

4 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

52 Service Points 47

23 First Serve In 34

17 First Serve Won 20

20 Second Serve Won 3

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tristan Schoolkate vs Harold Mayot — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Tristan Schoolkate — Last 10

Harold Mayot — Last 10