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Tristan Schoolkate vs Federico Cina — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 21:00

Predicted probability

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

35.42%

Federico Cina

Italy

64.58%

Average Odds

2.43  /  1.52

Market probability

38.48%  /  61.52%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1653 vs 1582), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1664 vs 1571) and a stronger return game (40.9% vs 38.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1582.2 Elo 1653.3
1571.4 Elo (surface) 1664.0
115 Wins (Challenger) 46
96 Wins (surface) 30
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.163 Dominance ratio 1.025
187 Rank 178
25.4 Age 19.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

60.2%
57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%
73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%
26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%
53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%
33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Schoolkate Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

54.9%
52.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%
39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%
58.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%
44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Schoolkate 00 Federico Cina

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13
3-6 6-4 7-6
10 Aces 7
3 Double Faults 3
110 Service Points 98
63 First Serve In 53
44 First Serve Won 37
26 Second Serve Won 26
9 Break Points Saved 5
12 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Tristan Schoolkate — Last 10

L L W W W L W W W W

Federico Cina — Last 10

L W L L W W W L L W