ATP tennis predict — Tristan Boyer vs Matthew Forbes

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Tristan Boyer

USA

67.43%

Matthew Forbes

USA

32.57%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.40

Market probability

72.96% / 27.04%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Boyer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1525), more career match wins (86 vs 4) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1558 vs 1522).

Player Comparison

1733.1 Elo 1524.6

1558.3 Elo (surface) 1522.4

86 Wins (Challenger) 4

30 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.089 Dominance ratio 1.140

168 Rank 771

25.3 Age 20.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Matthew Forbes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Matthew Forbes

1st Serve In %

62.8%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Matthew Forbes

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

18.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Boyer 0 – 0 Matthew Forbes

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Tristan Boyer #168

Matthew Forbes #771

6-2 1-6 6-2

5 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 7

57 Service Points 67

37 First Serve In 32

28 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 21

0 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Tristan Boyer vs Matthew Forbes — Prediction