ATP tennis predict — Tristan Boyer vs Lorenzo Claverie

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Tristan Boyer

USA

76.05%

Lorenzo Claverie

Italy

23.95%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.84

Market probability

83.91% / 16.09%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Boyer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1523 vs 1311), a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1556) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1733.4 Elo 1556.1

1523.2 Elo (surface) 1310.7

21 Wins 2

15 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.117 Dominance ratio 1.117

166 Rank 869

25.3 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Lorenzo Claverie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Lorenzo Claverie

1st Serve In %

62.8%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

78.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.72

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Lorenzo Claverie

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

76.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Boyer 0 – 0 Lorenzo Claverie

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Tristan Boyer #388

Lorenzo Claverie #-

7-6 6-3

7 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 4

73 Service Points 60

42 First Serve In 41

36 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 4

31 Winners 14

19 Unforced Errors 27

1.1 Average Odds 5.8

Tristan Boyer vs Lorenzo Claverie — Prediction