ATP tennis predict — Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Tristan Boyer

USA

51.95%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

48.05%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.72

Market probability

46.74% / 53.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1722.4 Elo 1734.1

1705.5 Elo (surface) 1712.3

90 Wins (Challenger) 127

55 Wins (surface) 68

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.187 Dominance ratio 1.129

209 Rank 233

25.5 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–6L · 64.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

62.8%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

62.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Boyer and Alejandro Moro Canas have never played each other.

Tristan Boyer vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction