ATP tennis predict — Tristan Boyer vs Aidan Mayo

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Tristan Boyer

USA

65.04%

Aidan Mayo

USA

34.96%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.19

Market probability

57.48% / 42.52%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Boyer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1740 vs 1578), a stronger return game (39.6% vs 35.1% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1576 vs 1569).

Player Comparison

1739.9 Elo 1578.0

1576.2 Elo (surface) 1568.8

87 Wins (Challenger) 85

31 Wins (surface) 72

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.111 Dominance ratio 0.869

168 Rank 625

25.3 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Aidan Mayo

1st Serve In %

62.8%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Aidan Mayo

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Boyer 0 – 0 Aidan Mayo

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Aidan Mayo #625

Tristan Boyer #168

6-2 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Tristan Boyer vs Aidan Mayo — Prediction