ATP tennis predict — Tristan Boyer vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Tristan Boyer

USA

52.72%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

47.28%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.28

Market probability

59.53% / 40.47%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1731.7 Elo 1675.4

1654.8 Elo (surface) 1680.9

88 Wins (Challenger) 101

32 Wins (surface) 79

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.187 Dominance ratio 0.829

214 Rank 258

25.4 Age 22.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

62.8%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tristan Boyer Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tristan Boyer 0 – 1 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Abedallah Shelbayh #258

Tristan Boyer #214

7-6 6-1

2 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 28

7 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Salinas CH · 2023-07-24

R32

Abedallah Shelbayh #249

Tristan Boyer #502

7-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-4

4 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 5

141 Service Points 111

93 First Serve In 74

62 First Serve Won 48

21 Second Serve Won 15

14 Break Points Saved 4

18 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tristan Boyer vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction