ATP tennis predict — Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Trevor Svajda

USA

23.67%

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

76.33%

Average Odds

3.88 / 1.25

Market probability

24.37% / 75.63%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Mensik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1865 vs 1526), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1685 vs 1508) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 58.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1525.5 Elo 1864.9

1507.9 Elo (surface) 1685.4

3 Wins 99

3 Wins (surface) 72

3 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.794 Dominance ratio 1.057

436 Rank 17

20.3 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Jakub Mensik

1st Serve In %

57.0%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.0%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Jakub Mensik

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

54.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Trevor Svajda 0 – 0 Jakub Mensik

Hard Washington · 2026-07-28

1. round

Jakub Mensik #17

Trevor Svajda #436

6-2 6-7 6-3

3 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 8

104 Service Points 100

57 First Serve In 61

38 First Serve Won 51

30 Second Serve Won 19

10 Break Points Saved 7

13 Break Points Faced 7

18 Winners 36

41 Unforced Errors 55

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensik — Prediction