ATP tennis predict — Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · R16 21:30

Predicted probability

Trevor Svajda

USA

61.81%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

38.19%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.31

Market probability

60.16% / 39.84%

Why This Prediction?

Trevor Svajda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1657 vs 1604), the advantage of playing in his home country and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1680.5 Elo 1682.8

1657.0 Elo (surface) 1604.4

22 Wins (Challenger) 99

22 Wins (surface) 22

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 0.802

501 Rank 200

20.4 Age 29.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

57.0%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.0%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Trevor Svajda 0 – 0 Federico Agustin Gomez

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-23

R16

Federico Agustin Gomez #200

Trevor Svajda #501

7-5 6-4

2 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

27 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.5

Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction