ATP tennis predict — Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Trevor Svajda

USA

29.74%

Elias Ymer

Sweden

70.26%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.52

Market probability

38.87% / 61.13%

Why This Prediction?

Elias Ymer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1645 vs 1451), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1601 vs 1433) and more wins on hard courts (77 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1451.0 Elo 1645.4

1432.9 Elo (surface) 1601.3

1 Wins 149

1 Wins (surface) 77

1 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.728 Dominance ratio 0.873

435 Rank 197

20.3 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Elias Ymer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Elias Ymer

1st Serve In %

57.0%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.0%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Trevor Svajda Elias Ymer

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Trevor Svajda 0 – 0 Elias Ymer

Hard Washington · 2026-07-25

qualification - 1. round

Trevor Svajda #435

Elias Ymer #197

6-0 7-6

3 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

63 Service Points 63

32 First Serve In 28

25 First Serve Won 21

20 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer — Prediction