← Back to Predictions

Tommy Paul vs Dino Prizmic — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 01:50

Predicted probability

Tommy Paul

USA

69.41%

Dino Prizmic

Croatia

30.59%

Average Odds

1.18  /  4.94

Market probability

80.72%  /  19.28%

Why This Prediction?

Tommy Paul is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1909 vs 1733), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1783 vs 1597) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1909.3 Elo 1733.1
1782.8 Elo (surface) 1597.5
286 Wins 45
193 Wins (surface) 20
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.847 Dominance ratio 0.898
21 Rank 102
29.3 Age 21.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tommy Paul

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dino Prizmic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommy Paul Dino Prizmic

1st Serve In %

59.6%
59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%
50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%
43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%
72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%
59.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%
32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%
55.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommy Paul Dino Prizmic

Break Points Saved %

55.1%
49.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.8%
62.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tommy Paul 00 Dino Prizmic

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03
6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4
2 Aces 9
7 Double Faults 4
125 Service Points 109
79 First Serve In 59
56 First Serve Won 49
16 Second Serve Won 24
9 Break Points Saved 2
16 Break Points Faced 5
26 Winners 37
32 Unforced Errors 39
1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Tommy Paul — Last 10

L W W W L W W W L W

Dino Prizmic — Last 10

W W L W L L L W L W