ATP tennis predict — Tommaso Compagnucci vs Yanaki Milev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

42.48%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

57.52%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.07

Market probability

55.05% / 44.95%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country, more wins on clay courts (2 vs 0) and more career match wins (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1647.3 Elo 1601.1

1649.9 Elo (surface) 1599.4

30 Wins (Challenger) 21

29 Wins (surface) 20

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.863 Dominance ratio 1.019

366 Rank 627

26.9 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

—

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.6%

55.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 0 Yanaki Milev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Tommaso Compagnucci #366

Yanaki Milev #627

6-3 1-6 6-3

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 33

14 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 9

11 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Tommaso Compagnucci vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction