ATP tennis predict — Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

38.67%

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

61.33%

Average Odds

2.88 / 1.38

Market probability

32.39% / 67.61%

Why This Prediction?

Pol Martin Tiffon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1709 vs 1667), more wins on clay courts (58 vs 30) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1672 vs 1670).

Player Comparison

1667.1 Elo 1708.6

1670.2 Elo (surface) 1672.1

31 Wins (Challenger) 75

30 Wins (surface) 58

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.863 Dominance ratio 1.111

366 Rank 215

26.9 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Pol Martin Tiffon

1st Serve In %

—

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.6%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Pol Martin Tiffon

Break Points Saved %

—

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 1 Pol Martin Tiffon

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-23

R16

Pol Martin Tiffon #215

Tommaso Compagnucci #366

6-1 7-6

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Clay Aix-en-Provence CH · 2026-04-28

Q1

Pol Martin Tiffon #312

Tommaso Compagnucci #395

6-4 6-3

0 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 88

25 First Serve In 59

20 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 13

3 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction