ATP tennis predict — Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlin

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

49.66%

Max Dahlin

Sweden

50.34%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.66

Market probability

43.92% / 56.08%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1560.3 Elo 1582.4

1584.0 Elo (surface) 1591.7

26 Wins (Challenger) 3

25 Wins (surface) 3

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.966 Dominance ratio 0.874

364 Rank 880

26.8 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Max Dahlin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Max Dahlin

1st Serve In %

—

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

78.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.6%

38.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Max Dahlin

Break Points Saved %

—

76.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 0 Max Dahlin

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Tommaso Compagnucci #364

Max Dahlin #880

7-5 6-3

5 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 0

63 Service Points 72

45 First Serve In 46

37 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlin — Prediction