ATP tennis predict — Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

51.98%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

48.02%

Average Odds

1.74 / 1.99

Market probability

53.35% / 46.65%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1677.5 Elo 1561.5

1681.4 Elo (surface) 1565.8

30 Wins (Challenger) 14

29 Wins (surface) 14

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.863 Dominance ratio 0.960

380 Rank 455

26.9 Age 21.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

—

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.6%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tommaso Compagnucci Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

—

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 1 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #455

Tommaso Compagnucci #380

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 22

1 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Parma 3 challenger · 2026-06-15

qualification - round of 16

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #506

Tommaso Compagnucci #370

6-3 6-7 6-4

3 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 4

98 Service Points 150

60 First Serve In 85

32 First Serve Won 50

14 Second Serve Won 27

4 Break Points Saved 17

12 Break Points Faced 23

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction