ATP tennis predict — Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Tomasz Berkieta

Poland

36.37%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

63.63%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.20

Market probability

57.74% / 42.26%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Mena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1587 vs 1427), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1492 vs 1441) and more wins on hard courts (25 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1426.6 Elo 1586.6

1440.8 Elo (surface) 1492.1

7 Wins (Challenger) 194

2 Wins (surface) 25

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.025 Dominance ratio 1.074

570 Rank 330

20.0 Age 33.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tomasz Berkieta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomasz Berkieta Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

—

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomasz Berkieta Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

—

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tomasz Berkieta 0 – 0 Facundo Mena

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

1. round

Tomasz Berkieta #558

Facundo Mena #333

6-3 7-6

8 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 6

65 Service Points 81

33 First Serve In 38

26 First Serve Won 25

20 Second Serve Won 22

0 Break Points Saved 6

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena — Prediction